Published on April 25 2017

2016 年,40 家典型房企合計營業收入增長 25%,但淨利潤僅增長 14.5% ;而前十房企僅 8%! 如果剔除非主營業務收入和投資物業公允價值變動,房地產開發業務淨利率將更低。 毛利率整體下降,A 股、H 股分別為 29.6% 和 26.4% ,毛利率超過 30% 的房企有 11 家,其中深圳控股以 38.7% 居首,低於 20% 的房企有 5 家。整體來看,40 家典型房企中半數毛利率實現小幅增長,另有半數房企毛利率呈現負增長;毛利率整體下降明顯。 淨利率均處於較高水平的房企,如合景泰富、中海地產、龍光地產等。...

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Published on April 23 2017

Economics 101 -- "How the Economic Machine Works." Created by Ray Dalio this simple but not simplistic and easy to follow 30 minute, animated video answers the question, "How does the economy really work?" A beautiful evening in Hong Kong Harbor. https://www.frenchlatino.com...

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Published on April 17 2017

一个英国人教育西方人说:要谦虚的向中国学习 Less prejudice an investor be implanted, the easier he / she might project what would happen next, with higher accuracy. And more time we may afford to look into history, we would likely be better prepared to face our future, I believe....

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Published on April 6 2017

04/2017 標普全球評級宣布,對龍光地產授予“BB-”長期企業信用評級,同時也授予“cnBB+”大中華區信用體係長期評級。 反映龍光地產業務覆蓋地區較為集中以及財務槓桿目前較高。但該公司在深圳穩固的市場地位,以及較好的資產質量一定程度抵消上述風險。預計未來 12 個月內收入增長強勁和盈利能力改善推動,龍光地產財務槓桿將逐步降低。龍光地產財務槓桿將小幅改善,2017-2018 年債務對息稅及折舊攤銷前利潤比率可能在 4.0-5.0 倍,低於 2016 年的 5.5 倍。 龍光地產信用狀況的支持因素包括:在主要市場的地位穩固、土地儲備成本較低、以及良好的盈利能力。預計龍光地產盈利能力和銷售將從深圳房地產價格上漲中受益,從而在未來兩年內推動利潤率改善。未來兩年該公司毛利率可能將從...

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Published on April 2 2017

在樓市分化格局下,你怎麼去選擇業務發展領域,怎麼精選城市,怎麼選區位板塊,以及怎麼去定義你的客群與產品,這將成為決定當前房企戰略好壞的關鍵。其次,年報業績的背後,其實就是戰略的體現。很多同行毛利率 20% 都保不住,核心還是前面戰略佈局和執行力出了問題。你前期種下了什麼戰略的因,三、五年後你就會收穫到什麼財務的果,即戰略是因,財務為果。 龍光 2015 年 205 億,2016 年 287 億,加上手握 3400 億貨值和未來 30% 左右增長率,規模突破 500 億,甚至 1000 億,對龍光而言,只是個時間問題。...

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Published on April 1 2017

FY2016 Results in English - 3380FY2016E.pdf 3380 为沪港通、深港通机制下的「双港股通」合资格股票。 FY2016 Results in Chinese - 3380fy2016.pdf 2017 target for contracted sales RMB34.5 billions : stock available for sales in the year is expected to be RMB68.0 billions, with 70%...

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Published on March 28 2017

- 3883.pdf Currency hedging has been proven not an easy task for China Aoyuan as shown in the company's FY2016 results. In general, business of China Aoyuan performed above average in 2016. It is expected exchange rate loss at such amount would not be...

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Published on March 26 2017

Those listed in Mainland markets have entered an adjustment period, while developers listed in HK under our close monitoring are being chased up by investors in valuation to a more rational level. It is believed that the valuation gap in between would...

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Published on March 8 2017

- LTN20170308186_C.pdf 旭輝林中:完成 650 億目標為大概率事件上半年實現 55% 於業績會中,林中表示,未來旭輝將繼續佈局一、二線城市,以及一線城市的衛星城市和強三線城市,還將保持每年新進入兩到三個城市的速度進行擴張。其中,於珠三角方面,林中透露,今年可能將在中山、東莞、惠州及廣州城市拿項目。2017 年的拿地總金額預計在 350 億,權益金額為 200 億。他還表示,旭輝完成 2017 年 650 億目標是大概率事件,而隨著這個目標的完成,旭輝在買地方面的預算也會相應進行提高。...

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Published on March 1 2017

該項目預期發展成高層大戶型4房單位,包括特別單位,最細樓面單位為1,300方呎,料可提供300至400個單位,另有10多幢獨立別墅,預計2019至2020年開售。合景泰富將主要負責設計部分,具承建經驗的龍光則牽頭工程項目。 东莞房网资讯中心是东莞房地产信息网旗下资讯栏目,是东莞地产行业信息及时、资料全面、数据真实、覆盖受众广的房产信息平台。为受众提供及... 中泰国际研究部 - 2017319117835.pdf 中金研报 - 2017224101146950.pdf President Trump...

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